Yuma, AZ
Safe Republican — shifted 14.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 212K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 29.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 64.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 1.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.1% | 59.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.4% | 22.0% |
| Other | 5.4% | 16.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 8.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.6% | 1.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 66.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+6.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+1.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+12.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+13.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+16.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.6 |
Yuma, AZ is a metro area that has a population of 211,741. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.4. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.3% | 59.6% | R+20.4 | R+14.2 |
| 2020 | 46.1% | 52.2% | R+6.2 | R+5.1 |
| 2016 | 46.4% | 47.5% | R+1.1 | D+11.5 |
| 2012 | 42.9% | 55.5% | R+12.6 | D+1.2 |
| 2008 | 42.4% | 56.1% | R+13.7 | D+2.2 |
| 2004 | 41.6% | 57.6% | R+16.0 | R+3.2 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 54.8% | R+12.7 | R+10.1 |
| 1996 | 44.3% | 47.0% | R+2.7 | D+1.9 |
| 1992 | 37.0% | 41.5% | R+4.6 | D+14.6 |
| 1988 | 39.8% | 59.0% | R+19.1 | D+16.9 |
| 1984 | 31.5% | 67.6% | R+36.1 | R+1.2 |
| 1980 | 28.4% | 63.3% | R+34.9 | R+27.5 |
| 1976 | 44.7% | 52.1% | R+7.4 | D+24.6 |
| 1972 | 31.5% | 63.5% | R+32.0 | R+24.6 |
| 1968 | 39.4% | 46.9% | R+7.4 | R+16.5 |
| 1964 | 54.5% | 45.4% | D+9.1 | D+0.1 |
| 1960 | 54.4% | 45.5% | D+9.0 | D+5.0 |
| 1956 | 52.0% | 48.0% | D+4.0 | D+7.5 |
| 1952 | 48.3% | 51.7% | R+3.4 | R+34.4 |
| 1948 | 64.4% | 33.4% | D+31.0 | — |
What defines Yuma, AZ?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Yuma, AZ
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yuma | 212K | R+20.4 | 26,823 | 40,745 | 68,335 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 20.4% margin
- The 2016 election was decided by just 1.1 points — razor-thin
Who Lives Here
| Group | Yuma, AZ | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 64.9% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 29.0% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.7% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 1.4% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.1% | 59.6% | — | — | |
| 7.4% | 22.0% | — | — | |
| 5.4% | 16.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.8% | 8.2% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.9% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 66.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Yuma, AZ metro area? 211,741 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Yuma, AZ
How competitive is Yuma, AZ?
Do voters in Yuma, AZ split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+20.4 | R+10.4 | 9.9pp |