Los Angeles
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 10.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 18.5M residents — 6 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 28.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 47.0% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 6.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 14.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 2.8% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.8% | 60.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.6% | 19.6% |
| Other | 6.2% | 12.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 3.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.6% | 3.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.3% | 2.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 50.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+17.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+28.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+30.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+22.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+23.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+8.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+13.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.1 |
Los Angeles is a media market that has a population of 18,506,399. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+17.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.5% | 39.5% | D+17.9 | R+10.4 |
| 2020 | 63.1% | 34.8% | D+28.3 | R+2.5 |
| 2016 | 62.3% | 31.5% | D+30.8 | D+8.0 |
| 2012 | 60.1% | 37.4% | D+22.7 | R+0.4 |
| 2008 | 60.5% | 37.4% | D+23.1 | D+15.1 |
| 2004 | 53.4% | 45.4% | D+8.0 | R+5.3 |
| 2000 | 54.6% | 41.3% | D+13.3 | D+0.5 |
| 1996 | 51.2% | 38.4% | D+12.9 | D+1.8 |
| 1992 | 44.9% | 33.9% | D+11.1 | D+19.9 |
| 1988 | 45.0% | 53.8% | R+8.8 | D+13.6 |
| 1984 | 38.2% | 60.6% | R+22.4 | R+1.9 |
| 1980 | 35.0% | 55.5% | R+20.5 | R+16.4 |
| 1976 | 46.7% | 50.8% | R+4.0 | D+15.0 |
| 1972 | 38.7% | 57.7% | R+19.0 | R+11.7 |
| 1968 | 43.0% | 50.3% | R+7.3 | R+19.2 |
| 1964 | 55.9% | 44.0% | D+11.9 | D+13.9 |
| 1960 | 48.8% | 50.8% | R+2.0 | D+11.0 |
| 1956 | 43.3% | 56.3% | R+13.0 | D+1.3 |
| 1952 | 42.3% | 56.6% | R+14.3 | R+13.5 |
| 1948 | 46.5% | 47.4% | R+0.9 | — |
What defines Los Angeles?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Las Vegas
Educated rural democratic
Sacramnto-Stkton-Modesto
Educated rural democratic
San Diego
Educated rural democratic
Monterey-Salinas
Educated rural democratic
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
Educated rural democratic
New York
Educated rural democratic
Houston
Educated rural democratic
Chicago
Educated rural democratic
Counties in Los Angeles
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 9.8M | D+32.9 | 2,417,109 | 1,189,862 | 3,728,427 | 51.7% |
| Orange | 3.2M | D+2.6 | 691,731 | 654,815 | 1,390,965 | 19.3% |
| Riverside | 2.5M | R+1.3 | 451,782 | 463,677 | 940,405 | 13.0% |
| San Bernardino | 2.2M | R+2.1 | 362,114 | 378,416 | 761,714 | 10.6% |
| Ventura | 837K | D+15.3 | 217,424 | 158,901 | 383,070 | 5.3% |
| Inyo | 19K | R+3.0 | 4,201 | 4,468 | 8,951 | 0.1% |
6 countiesTotal votes: 7,213,532
Ask the Historian
Explore Los Angeles's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 10.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Margins have been narrowing — from 30.8pp to 17.9pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Los Angeles | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 47.0% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 28.4% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 14.1% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 6.2% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 2.8% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
49.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +36.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.8% | 60.4% | — | — | |
| 9.6% | 19.6% | — | — | |
| 6.2% | 12.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 3.6% | — | — |
| 1.6% | 3.3% | — | — | |
| 1.3% | 2.6% | — | — | |
| 0.7% | 1.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Los Angeles media market? 18,506,399 residents across 6 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
18.5M
Share of U.S. population
5.53%
Voting-age population
76.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$95,387
Poverty rate
12.3%
College degree
34.5%
Homeownership
53.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.9 yrs
Age 18–29
16.4%
Age 65+
15.2%
Foreign born
29.4%
Non-English at home
49.8%
English only
50.2%
Turnout in Los Angeles
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
51.0%
-6.0pp
14,142,183
1988–2024
How competitive is Los Angeles?
Safe DAvg margin: D+25.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+23.1
2012
D+22.7
2016
D+30.8
2020
D+28.3
2024
D+17.9
12.8pp
0
D+24.6
Do voters in Los Angeles split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+17.9 | D+15.5 | 2.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 23.3pp
Located In
Los Angeles sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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