Austin
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 6.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2.6M residents — 12 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 31.5% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 6.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 7.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 18.2% | 44.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.4% | 32.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 9.9% |
| Other | 4.0% | 9.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.4% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 58.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+14.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+20.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+13.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.5 |
| 2008 | Obama+8.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+5.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+1.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.5 |
Austin is a media market that has a population of 2,588,606. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+14.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.2% | 42.0% | D+14.2 | R+6.5 |
| 2020 | 59.3% | 38.7% | D+20.7 | D+7.5 |
| 2016 | 53.2% | 39.9% | D+13.2 | D+11.8 |
| 2012 | 49.1% | 47.7% | D+1.5 | R+7.3 |
| 2008 | 53.4% | 44.6% | D+8.8 | D+13.9 |
| 2004 | 46.6% | 51.7% | R+5.2 | D+13.0 |
| 2000 | 36.6% | 54.8% | R+18.2 | R+20.1 |
| 1996 | 46.8% | 45.0% | D+1.9 | R+5.7 |
| 1992 | 42.7% | 35.2% | D+7.5 | D+5.1 |
| 1988 | 50.7% | 48.3% | D+2.4 | D+23.8 |
| 1984 | 39.2% | 60.5% | R+21.4 | R+17.6 |
| 1980 | 45.1% | 48.9% | R+3.8 | R+10.3 |
| 1976 | 52.5% | 46.0% | D+6.5 | D+26.0 |
| 1972 | 40.0% | 59.5% | R+19.5 | R+27.1 |
| 1968 | 47.4% | 39.8% | D+7.6 | R+33.5 |
| 1964 | 70.5% | 29.4% | D+41.1 | D+26.8 |
| 1960 | 57.0% | 42.6% | D+14.4 | D+19.8 |
| 1956 | 47.2% | 52.6% | R+5.4 | R+1.6 |
| 1952 | 48.0% | 51.9% | R+3.8 | R+49.1 |
| 1948 | 69.9% | 24.6% | D+45.3 | — |
What defines Austin?
Austin has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a diverse, highly educated electorate — the core of the modern Democratic coalition.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
San Diego
Educated rural democratic
San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose
Educated rural democratic
Boston (Manchester)
Educated rural democratic
Chicago
Educated rural democratic
Dallas-Fort Worth
Educated rural democratic
Seattle-Tacoma
Educated rural democratic
Providence-New Bedford
Educated rural competitive
Denver
Educated rural competitive
Counties in Austin
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis | 1.3M | D+39.3 | 398,981 | 170,787 | 581,276 | 50.0% |
| Williamson | 673K | R+2.5 | 147,766 | 155,310 | 308,469 | 26.5% |
| Hays | 269K | D+5.6 | 65,528 | 58,438 | 125,827 | 10.8% |
| Bastrop | 107K | R+18.4 | 15,989 | 23,301 | 39,806 | 3.4% |
| Burnet | 53K | R+55.7 | 6,114 | 21,795 | 28,153 | 2.4% |
| Caldwell | 49K | R+14.4 | 6,618 | 8,880 | 15,693 | 1.4% |
| Gillespie | 28K | R+60.9 | 3,160 | 13,202 | 16,492 | 1.4% |
| Fayette | 25K | R+61.4 | 2,515 | 10,699 | 13,331 | 1.1% |
| Llano | 22K | R+60.8 | 2,613 | 10,902 | 13,629 | 1.2% |
| Lee | 18K | R+60.4 | 1,640 | 6,724 | 8,415 | 0.7% |
| Blanco | 12K | R+52.5 | 1,973 | 6,447 | 8,523 | 0.7% |
| Mason | 4K | R+65.0 | 434 | 2,076 | 2,527 | 0.2% |
12 countiesTotal votes: 1,162,141
Ask the Historian
Explore Austin's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2012 election was decided by just 1.5 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Austin | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.2% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 31.5% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 7.0% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 6.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
41.3%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +7.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.2% | 44.0% | — | — | |
| 13.4% | 32.5% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 9.9% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 9.8% | — | — | |
| 1.4% | 3.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.8% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 58.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Austin media market? 2,588,606 residents across 12 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
49% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
2.6M
Share of U.S. population
0.77%
Voting-age population
76.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$99,021
Poverty rate
9.8%
College degree
49.4%
Homeownership
59.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.8 yrs
Age 18–29
17.1%
Age 65+
12.9%
Foreign born
15.7%
Non-English at home
27.6%
English only
72.4%
Turnout in Austin
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
58.7%
+0.9pp
1,980,110
1988–2024
How competitive is Austin?
Safe DAvg margin: D+16.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+8.8
2012
D+1.5
2016
D+13.2
2020
D+20.7
2024
D+14.2
19.2pp
2
D+11.7
Do voters in Austin split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (58/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+14.2 | D+18.2 | 4.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 8.8pp
Located In
Austin sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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