How did Kingsville, TX vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Kingsville, TX voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+12.7. Kamala D Harris received 4,338 votes and Donald Trump received 5,612 out of 10,014 total votes cast, a 11.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Kingsville, TX's political history?

Kingsville, TX has 28 presidential elections on record, spanning 1916 to 2024. Democrats have won 21 and Republicans 7 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 82.3 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Kingsville, TX?

Kingsville, TX has a population of 30,579 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 20.8% non-Hispanic white, 71.4% Hispanic, 3.8% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $61,292.

Which places are most similar to Kingsville, TX?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Kingsville, TX are Corpus Christi, TX, Rio Grande City-Roma, TX, Brownsville-Harlingen, TX. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Kingsville, TX

Latest: 2024↓ R+11.0 vs 2020

Leans Republican — shifted 11.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31K residents — 1 counties

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POPULATION
31K
COUNTIES
1
PRES MARGIN
R+12.7
2024
TURNOUT
46.6%
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K

Place Story

What defines Kingsville, TX

Methodology

Tilts Republican
- Tilt R
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Biggest swing: D+82.3 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 71% Hispanic (+52pp vs national)
- 71% Hispanic (+52pp vs national)
- 21% non-Hispanic white (-37pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 43pp over Evangelicals
- 66% Catholic / 23% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 18.4pp ahead of Governor
- Divergence 18.4pp in 2018
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Rio Grande City-Roma, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+16.0

Similarity score90%

Brownsville-Harlingen, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+5.8

Similarity score90%

Raymondville, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+3.3

Similarity score90%

Zapata, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+22.4

Similarity score90%

Laredo, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+2.2

Similarity score90%

McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX

Diverse rural competitive

R+2.9

Similarity score90%

Deming, NM

Diverse rural competitive

R+18.9

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Kingsville, TX

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Kleberg	31K	R+12.7	4,338	5,612	10,014	100.0%

1 countiesTotal votes: 10,014

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Kingsville, TX's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Kingsville, TX metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Kingsville, TXCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 71.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 20.8%Black 3.8%Multiracial 2.1%Asian 1.3%Native American 0.7%

Group	Kingsville, TX	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	71.4%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	20.8%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(6)	3.8%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.3%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.7%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

63.6%(19.4K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	41.9%	66.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	14.5%	22.9%	—	—
Other	3.5%	5.5%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.0%	4.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	1.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.7%	1.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	36.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Kingsville, TX metro area? 30,579 residents across 1 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Kingsville, TX vs National31K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

31K

local

31KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.01%

local

0.01%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.3%

local

70.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$61,292

local

$61,292National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.1%

local

28.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.2%

local

23.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

52.5%

local

52.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.0 yrs

local

29.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.6%

local

27.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7%

local

5.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.4%

local

34.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

65.6%

local

65.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Kingsville, TX

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

46.6%

vs Previous

-4.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

21,497

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Kingsville, TX?

Tilt RAvg margin: R+3.6 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+7.2

2012

D+7.8

2016

D+3.6

2020

R+1.7

2024

R+12.7

Elasticity

20.5pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+0.8

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Kingsville, TX split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (57/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+12.7	R+4.4	8.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Kingsville, TX sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Texas(State)

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