Las Cruces, NM
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 8.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 224K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 26.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 67.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 18.9% | 51.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.6% | 26.2% |
| Other | 5.5% | 15.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.4% | 6.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.4% | 6.5% |
| Black Protestant | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 63.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+9.8 |
| 2020 | Biden+18.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+17.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+14.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+3.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+5.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.1 |
Las Cruces, NM is a metro area that has a population of 224,266. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+9.8. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.8% | 44.0% | D+9.8 | R+8.6 |
| 2020 | 58.0% | 39.7% | D+18.3 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 53.7% | 35.9% | D+17.8 | D+3.0 |
| 2012 | 55.9% | 41.1% | D+14.8 | R+2.9 |
| 2008 | 58.1% | 40.5% | D+17.6 | D+14.1 |
| 2004 | 51.3% | 47.7% | D+3.6 | R+2.1 |
| 2000 | 51.3% | 45.6% | D+5.7 | R+6.3 |
| 1996 | 52.3% | 40.3% | D+12.0 | D+3.9 |
| 1992 | 45.0% | 36.9% | D+8.1 | D+12.8 |
| 1988 | 47.0% | 51.7% | R+4.7 | D+18.0 |
| 1984 | 38.1% | 60.9% | R+22.7 | R+6.4 |
| 1980 | 37.6% | 53.9% | R+16.3 | R+9.2 |
| 1976 | 46.0% | 53.1% | R+7.1 | D+14.0 |
| 1972 | 38.6% | 59.8% | R+21.1 | R+5.3 |
| 1968 | 38.3% | 54.1% | R+15.8 | R+35.0 |
| 1964 | 59.4% | 40.3% | D+19.2 | D+12.2 |
| 1960 | 53.5% | 46.5% | D+7.0 | D+25.0 |
| 1956 | 41.0% | 59.0% | R+18.0 | R+4.2 |
| 1952 | 43.1% | 56.9% | R+13.7 | R+32.7 |
| 1948 | 59.5% | 40.5% | D+19.0 | — |
What defines Las Cruces, NM?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Las Cruces, NM
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dona Ana | 224K | D+9.8 | 45,937 | 37,594 | 85,407 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 85,407
Ask the Historian
Explore Las Cruces, NM's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 8.6 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Las Cruces, NM | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 67.9% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 26.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.7% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.1% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
36.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +20.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.9% | 51.6% | — | — | |
| 9.6% | 26.2% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 15.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.4% | 6.6% | — | — |
| 2.4% | 6.5% | — | — | |
| 0.2% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 63.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Las Cruces, NM metro area? 224,266 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
224K
Share of U.S. population
0.07%
Voting-age population
74.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$56,848
Poverty rate
21.3%
College degree
31.7%
Homeownership
65.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
34.3 yrs
Age 18–29
21.5%
Age 65+
17.0%
Foreign born
14.7%
Non-English at home
45.3%
English only
54.7%
Turnout in Las Cruces, NM
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
51.1%
+1.6pp
167,029
1988–2024
How competitive is Las Cruces, NM?
Safe DAvg margin: D+15.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+17.6
2012
D+14.8
2016
D+17.8
2020
D+18.3
2024
D+9.8
8.6pp
0
D+15.7
Do voters in Las Cruces, NM split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (37/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+9.8 | D+12.5 | 2.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.9pp
Located In
Las Cruces, NM sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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