Recent answers

How has Legacy FIPS 36000 split its ticket since 2012?

New York State's presidential trajectory since 2012, with explicit acknowledgment that the cross-office split-ticket framing the question…

New York's presidential margin has compressed from D+28.2 in 2012 to D+13.2 in 2024, a 14.9-point rightward arc that's…

How has Columbine CDP trended since 2012?

Columbine CDP's four-cycle partisan trajectory as a suburban Jefferson County place within Colorado's broader 2012–2024 arc.

Which counties vote most like Madera?

Madera's archetype — Hispanic-majority Central Valley California county — named via its peers.

The peer-county lookup for Madera came back empty: no peer list, no demographic payload, no historical cycles, and no…

Tell me about Allegheny County, PA

Pittsburgh-anchored urban county in a battleground state with a specific cycle-by-cycle arc.

Allegheny County voted D+20.3 in 2024 while Pennsylvania ran R+1.7 — a 22.0-point gap between the county and the state…

Which counties vote most like Lee?

Lee County's archetype — Fort Myers metro, retirement-heavy, Republican-leaning — named via its closest peers across the country.

Lee County's peer-matching run returned no county comparisons — the cluster lookup came back empty, and the…

Which counties are most similar to Luzerne County, PA?

Luzerne's archetype — a former Obama stronghold turned Republican-leaning northeastern Pennsylvania county — characterized through its close

Luzerne County's peer set could not be resolved in this run — the comparison list returned empty, and the underlying…

30 minutes from downtown Atlanta

Atlanta's 30-minute commute-shed as a multi-county political unit within Georgia.

15-minute drive from downtown Pittsburgh

The Golden Triangle's 15-minute commute-shed as a political unit within Allegheny County and Pennsylvania.

Where has Georgia trended since 2008?

Georgia's 2008-2024 partisan arc as a multi-cycle realignment with measurable inflection points, compared against the national trajectory ov

Georgia ended 2024 at R+2.2, 3.0 points to the left of where it sat under Obama in 2008

How has Wisconsin moved since 2000?

Wisconsin's presidential arc across seven cycles — direction, magnitude, and where the trajectory inflected.

Wisconsin sits at R+0.9 in 2024, finishing a 24-year arc just 1.1 points right of where it started in 2000 — a state…

Counties most like Cuyahoga County, OH

Cuyahoga's archetype — Cleveland-anchored urban county, historically Democratic, mixed-race industrial Midwest — named via its peers across

Counties similar to Allegheny County, PA

Allegheny's archetype — Pittsburgh-anchored urban county in a battleground state — named via its closest peers.

Blocks in Texas with at least 60% Hispanic population

Texas's 60%+ Hispanic block cohort — its size, where it concentrates, and how its partisan lean has moved across five cycles.

Texas blocks at least 60% Hispanic voted D+6.9 in 2024 while the state ran R+13.7 — a 20.6-point gap that leaves this 6.

Michigan counties that flipped 2020 to 2024

The 2020→2024 county-level shift within Michigan, named specifically and quantified.

Wisconsin counties that flipped 2016

The 2012-to-2016 flip cohort in Wisconsin as a multi-cycle unit — size of the wave, demographic composition, and trajectory through 2024.

Counties Trump won in 2024 by more than 20 points

The deep-red county set in 2024 as a geographic and demographic cohort, with multi-cycle context.

The counties Trump won by 20+ points ran R+63.7 in aggregate in 2024, while Kansas — one of the states housing this…

45 minutes from Detroit

Detroit's 45-minute commute-shed as a single political unit spanning urban core, inner-ring suburbs, and Oakland/Macomb outer suburbs.

30-minute commute zone around Ohio State University

Ohio State's 30-minute commute-shed as a political and demographic unit within Franklin County and Ohio.

The 30-minute drive ring around Ohio State holds 1.68 million people and ran D+17.6 in 2024, landing between Franklin…

15-minute drive from downtown Philadelphia

Center City's 15-minute drive-time ring as a political unit — the dense urban core that the freeway grid stitches together.

Where is Pennsylvania trending?

Pennsylvania's five-cycle partisan trajectory and what 2024 says about the direction.

Pennsylvania has moved 12.0 points right since 2008, closing 2024 at R+1.7 after Obama carried it by D+10.

The 5 counties most demographically similar to Fairfax County, VA

Fairfax's archetype — affluent, college-educated, racially diverse DC-area suburb — named via its top-5 national peers.

The peer set for Fairfax County, VA did not load in this run — neither margins, demographics, nor multi-cycle trends…

Places like Macomb County, Michigan

Macomb's archetype — exurban Detroit, predominantly non-Hispanic white, Obama-to-Trump trajectory — named via its closest peers.

The Macomb County peer query returned no matched counties, no demographic payload, and no historical trend cycles —…

Counties in Arizona that flipped from Biden 2020 to Trump 2024

The 2020→2024 shift in Arizona, county by county.

Counties that Obama won in 2012 but Trump won in 2016

The Obama-Trump flip cohort as a geographic and demographic phenomenon, traced from 2008 through 2024.

The Obama-Trump flip counties have moved 20.1 points right across 16 years, from D+9.4 in 2008 to R+10.