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Albuquerque-Santa Fe

Albuquerque-Santa Fe

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.6 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2.0M residents — 31 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
37.7%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)
43.4%
▶Black / African American(11)
2.0%
▶Asian(6)
1.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
0.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(10)
12.8%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)
0.1%
Multiracial / Other
2.3%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Catholic29.9%57.0%
Evangelical Protestant12.5%23.8%
Other7.4%14.1%
LDS (Mormon)3.8%7.3%
Mainline Protestant2.2%4.2%
Black Protestant0.5%0.9%
Non-religious47.5%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Harris+7.6
2020Biden+12.3
2016Clinton+9.2
2012Obama+11.5
2008Obama+16.4
2004Kerry+1.4
2000Gore+1.3
1996Clinton+8.5
1992Clinton+10.3
View full election history →

Albuquerque-Santa Fe is a media market that has a population of 1,964,921. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+7.6. Akashic Edge tracks 37 presidential elections here, dating back to 1880.

Albuquerque-Santa Fe Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202452.7%45.0%D+7.6R+4.6
202055.1%42.8%D+12.3D+3.1
201648.8%39.6%D+9.2R+2.3
201253.7%42.1%D+11.5R+4.9
200857.5%41.1%D+16.4D+15.0
200450.1%48.7%D+1.4D+0.1
200048.3%47.0%D+1.3R+7.2
199649.5%41.1%D+8.5R+1.9
199246.7%36.3%D+10.3D+14.0
198847.6%51.2%R+3.6D+15.3
198440.0%58.9%R+18.9R+0.5
198036.5%54.8%R+18.4R+16.5
197648.5%50.3%R+1.8D+21.2
197237.2%60.3%R+23.0R+11.7
196840.3%51.7%R+11.3R+30.8
196459.4%40.0%D+19.4D+18.0
196050.7%49.3%D+1.5D+18.8
195641.3%58.6%R+17.3R+5.2
195243.9%56.0%R+12.1R+20.8
194854.3%45.6%D+8.7—
Political Identity

What defines Albuquerque-Santa Fe?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Albuquerque-Santa Fe

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Bernalillo674K
D+21.0
184,117118,762310,84434.8%
Santa Fe156K
D+48.9
61,40520,45783,7199.4%
Sandoval154K
D+5.8
41,20536,60579,5408.9%
San Juan121K
R+31.7
17,46434,26452,9265.9%
Valencia78K
R+16.4
13,60919,05733,2773.7%
Lea74K
R+61.6
3,93016,99721,2092.4%
McKinley70K
D+24.5
15,7119,36425,8672.9%
Otero69K
R+27.0
8,58215,11724,2422.7%
Apache65K
D+18.9
18,87212,79532,1013.6%
Chaves64K
R+44.8
5,94115,89422,2002.5%
Eddy61K
R+55.9
5,03218,14123,4722.6%
La Plata56K
D+18.6
20,67714,02435,6814.0%
Rio Arriba40K
D+19.4
9,3736,26815,9891.8%
Taos35K
D+47.5
12,0384,13916,6361.9%
Grant28K
D+5.1
7,3016,58014,2241.6%
San Miguel27K
D+27.9
6,9853,88711,1081.2%
Cibola27K
D+1.6
4,4504,3118,9771.0%
Montezuma26K
R+21.0
5,7938,97215,1361.7%
Luna26K
R+18.9
3,1764,6988,0560.9%
Lincoln20K
R+38.5
3,0336,94210,1651.1%
Los Alamos19K
D+30.2
7,7264,04712,1871.4%
Socorro16K
R+3.7
3,3843,6517,2330.8%
Torrance15K
R+38.1
2,1444,8807,1790.8%
Colfax12K
R+14.0
2,4363,2525,8130.7%
Sierra12K
R+19.2
2,3323,4735,9530.7%
Guadalupe4K
D+0.7
9599451,9380.2%
Mora4K
D+17.3
1,4391,0102,4870.3%
Hidalgo4K
R+23.4
7051,1401,8620.2%
Catron4K
R+50.1
5711,7522,3570.3%
De Baca2K
R+50.7
2066498740.1%
Harding741
R+39.2
1282974310.0%
31 countiesTotal votes: 893,683
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Albuquerque-Santa Fe's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Swung 4.6 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Albuquerque-Santa FeCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Hispanic 43.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 37.7%Native American 12.8%Multiracial 2.3%Black 2.0%Asian 1.8%
GroupAlbuquerque-Santa FeNational
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)
43.4%19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
37.7%57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(10)
12.8%0.9%
Multiracial / Other
2.3%4.0%
▶Black / African American(11)
2.0%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
1.8%6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
0.4%0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)
0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
52.5%(1.0M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +28.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
29.9%57.0%——
Evangelical Protestant
12.5%23.8%——
Other
7.4%14.1%——
LDS (Mormon)
3.8%7.3%——
Mainline Protestant
2.2%4.2%——
Black Protestant
0.5%0.9%——
Non-religiousPopulation
47.5%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Albuquerque-Santa Fe media market? 1,964,921 residents across 31 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Albuquerque-Santa Fe vs National2.0M residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
2.0M
local
2.0MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.59%
local
0.59%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
76.6%
local
76.6%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$66,983
local
$66,983National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
17.5%
local
17.5%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
30.8%
local
30.8%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
71.1%
local
71.1%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
40.6 yrs
local
40.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.9%
local
14.9%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
19.7%
local
19.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
8.3%
local
8.3%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
29.7%
local
29.7%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
70.3%
local
70.3%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Albuquerque-Santa Fe

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
59.4%
vs Previous
-0.4pp
Voting-Age Pop
1,505,760
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Albuquerque-Santa Fe?

Lean DAvg margin: D+9.7 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+16.4
2012
D+11.5
2016
D+9.2
2020
D+12.3
2024
D+7.6
Elasticity
8.8pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+11.4
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Albuquerque-Santa Fe split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (28/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateD+7.6D+12.14.5pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.2pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Albuquerque-Santa Fe sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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