Hopi
2024 ecological estimate
Range R+13.7 to R+5.3
Modeled margin trajectory
Strongest places
Where this group lives the densest.
The single state, county, and media market with the highest share of population. The bar underneath shows how concentrated each place is against the U.S. baseline.
Modeled margin over time
Trajectory by election year
Each bar shows the modeled county-weighted margin and its variant range across county / state / region aggregations where available.
Hopi share vs 2024 presidential margin
How this was modeled
Medium confidenceMeasurement
Share of total population reporting this ancestry group (ACS 2024 5-year).
Political model
Multi-scale ecological average (county + state + region), weighted by total votes × group share.
Trust and evidence scope
Release status, source chain, and modeling boundaries.
Every dossier declares what is published, where the data comes from, and where modeled geography stops short of observed individual behavior.
Release status
EXPERIMENTAL
Experimental dossier. Visible in the atlas, excluded from search indexing until promoted.
Political basis
Latest 2024
Latest modeled series: 2024 R+8.6, medium.
Source chain
- Footprint source: ACS 2024 ancestry fields from demographics_ancestry.
- Politics source window: presidential model output spanning 2000 through 2024 from the latest completed ancestry_vote_estimates run.
- Release policy: public-release dossiers are indexed; experimental dossiers remain labeled and excluded from search indexing.
- Interpretation: modeled political geography, not observed individual vote behavior.
National benchmark
The U.S. baseline every ranking is measured against.
These are the base U.S. measures used for over-indexing and geography rankings across the dossier.
Share of population
<0.1%
Pop × U.S. baseline: —
Availability
Nation, state, county, metro, DMA
Metro and DMA rankings are live. Future tabs stay hidden until dedicated rollups are ready.
County intensity map
Where Hopi concentrates
Darker = higher share of the county population.
Hopi share of county population
Explorer handoff
Open the map-first explorer.
The embedded workbench keeps the map, rankings, and dossier context aligned while preserving the same explorer workflow used across place-first analysis.
Map the footprint directly inside the dossier.
Use the same layer contract as the main explorer to inspect hopi across states, counties, metros, and media markets without leaving the dossier.
| Rank | Place | Value | Pres. context |
|---|
Use the dossier’s strongest places and modeled geography context as a starting point for a deeper analysis.
Top states
The states with the highest concentration.
Population-ranked state concentrations for the public dossier view.
| # | Geography | Share of population | Pop × U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 0.1% | — | |
| New Mexico | <0.1% | — | |
| Nevada | <0.1% | — | |
| Alaska | <0.1% | — | |
| Alabama | <0.1% | — | |
| Arkansas | <0.1% | — | |
| California | <0.1% | — | |
| Colorado | <0.1% | — | |
| Connecticut | <0.1% | — | |
| District of Columbia | <0.1% | — |
Top counties
County leaders ordered by share of population.
County concentrations ordered by share of population, with adherent share paired where available.
| # | Geography | Share of population | Pop × U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Navajo, AZ | 4.8% | — | |
| Coconino, AZ | 1.3% | — | |
| Valencia, NM | 0.6% | — | |
| Montgomery, MO | 0.3% | — | |
| Union, NM | 0.2% | — | |
| Cibola, NM | 0.2% | — | |
| Grand, CO | 0.2% | — | |
| La Paz, AZ | 0.2% | — | |
| Clearwater, ID | 0.2% | — | |
| Yavapai, AZ | 0.2% | — | |
| Apache, AZ | 0.1% | — | |
| Carson City, NV | 0.1% | — | |
| Stephens, OK | 0.1% | — | |
| Costilla, CO | <0.1% | — | |
| Sandoval, NM | <0.1% | — | |
| Gila, AZ | <0.1% | — | |
| Lake, CO | <0.1% | — | |
| McKinley, NM | <0.1% | — | |
| San Juan, NM | <0.1% | — | |
| Maricopa, AZ | <0.1% | — | |
| Montgomery, KS | <0.1% | — | |
| Cochise, AZ | <0.1% | — | |
| Galveston, TX | <0.1% | — | |
| La Plata, CO | <0.1% | — | |
| North Slope Borough, AK | <0.1% | — |
Top media markets
Highest-concentration DMAs.
DMA rankings extend the dossier beyond counties while preserving the same measurement grammar.
| # | Geography | Share of population | Pop × U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix (Prescott) | 0.2% | — | |
| Albuquerque-Santa Fe | <0.1% | — | |
| Tucson (Sierra Vista) | <0.1% | — | |
| Billings | <0.1% | — | |
| Columbia-Jefferson City | <0.1% | — | |
| Corpus Christi | <0.1% | — | |
| El Paso (Las Cruces) | <0.1% | — | |
| Las Vegas | <0.1% | — | |
| Reno | <0.1% | — | |
| San Angelo | <0.1% | — | |
| Wichita Falls & Lawton | <0.1% | — | |
| Abilene-Sweetwater | <0.1% | — | |
| Albany, GA | <0.1% | — | |
| Albany-Schenectady-Troy | <0.1% | — | |
| Alexandria, LA | <0.1% | — |
Full ranked explorer
Search the entire geography set.
Open the full geography table with the same measurement rules and public dossier hierarchy preserved.
Full geography explorer
50+ ranked geographies
Unlock searchable state, county, metro, and DMA rankings for this group.
Unlock with Pro$33/moResiduals
Over-indexed but politically unusual.
High-footprint counties where the 2024 presidential margin diverges most from this group's latest published national modeled pattern.
| County | Footprint | 2024 actual | Modeled | Residual |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore City, MD | <0.1% | D+72.4 | R+8.6 | D+81.0 |
| Arthur, NE | <0.1% | R+87.6 | R+8.6 | R+79.0 |
| Armstrong, TX | <0.1% | R+85.8 | R+8.6 | R+77.3 |
| Orleans, LA | <0.1% | D+67.0 | R+8.6 | D+75.6 |
| Beaver, OK | <0.1% | R+83.8 | R+8.6 | R+75.2 |
| Banner, NE | <0.1% | R+81.3 | R+8.6 | R+72.8 |
| Archer, TX | <0.1% | R+79.3 | R+8.6 | R+70.8 |
| Multnomah, OR | <0.1% | D+61.6 | R+8.6 | D+70.2 |
| Banks, GA | <0.1% | R+78.2 | R+8.6 | R+69.6 |
| Bear Lake, ID | <0.1% | R+77.3 | R+8.6 | R+68.8 |
| Baylor, TX | <0.1% | R+76.8 | R+8.6 | R+68.3 |
| Alfalfa, OK | <0.1% | R+76.6 | R+8.6 | R+68.1 |
Full politics table
Every election year with method detail.
Includes all modeled years, CI bounds, and the model version responsible for each row.
Full politics detail
Unlock the full election-year table, CI bounds, method labels, and model metadata.
Unlock with Pro$33/moWhere Hopi concentrates most
Method and export
Methodology and exports.
Public notes on source tables, measurement scope, modeling boundaries, and exportability.
- 01
Ancestry footprint metrics use ACS 2024 source columns mapped from the canonical ancestry taxonomy.
- 02
Public geography tables rank states and counties by share of total population reporting the ancestry.
- 03
State and national ancestry shares are weighted from county populations whenever a direct aggregate row is unavailable.
- 04
Political timelines use the latest completed ancestry model run and surface model version plus confidence labels directly.
- 05
Indexed public-release dossiers remain search-visible; experimental dossiers stay public in the atlas but noindex until promoted.
- 06
These pages describe modeled voting patterns, not direct measures of individual behavior.